Igor Blazevic on Myanmar--see articles on Irrawaddy website--

The narrative “Myanmar is falling apart”, and that this will “trigger a human exodus”, is the single biggest threat to the struggle against military dictatorship at this moment.

So far, Myanmar’s neighbors and ASEAN have pretended to undertake various diplomatic initiatives. In reality, they have been avoiding any meaningful intervention, either diplomatic or humanitarian, and have restrained themselves from exercising any pressure. They have sat and waited, comfortably hidden, behind different ineffective and non-performing initiatives, like the Five Point Consensus, like Hun Sen’s loud and self-promoting “peace facilitating”, like Indonesia’s patient, behind-the-scenes, 300-plus dialogues with “all” stakeholders, or like the current Thai “humanitarian corridor”.

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Myanmar’s neighbors do not like the junta. Nobody does. They see how rigid, incompetent, criminal, unpopular and predatory the military regime is. However, since the day of the coup, neighboring countries and others have been convinced that sooner or later the military would suppress civilian protests and armed resistance, and cement control.

Now, however, they understand that this will not happen. So, they feel pressed to