Socially Engaged Buddhism -- Buddhist Peace Fellowship -- site

http://www.bpf.org/html/about_us/history/history.html

"Do something, do something!" Gunter Grass

Here is an organization to help -- in 2008 and beyond -- note call for papers for special issue on Burma in Spring 2008.

Kyi May Kaung

Heart warming story from Burma -- missionaries from Wyoming help girl with deformed foot.

http://www.casperstartribune.net/articles/2007/12/30/news/wyoming/31c3d742a50b973f872573c10005c8e8.txt#blogcomments

Burma piece found on net --

http://www.spectator.org/dsp_article.asp?art_id=12489

I have no idea if this is so or not.

Pakistan -- Military Rule and Democracy -- Jan. 25th 2008, 7.10 PM to 8.30 PM

The late Ms. Benazir Bhutto with former Presd. George Bush, Sr. From Time photo essay on line.


Talk:

Jan. 25th Friday.

7.10 PM to 8.30 PM --

Pakistan: Military Rule and Democracy -- by political economist Dr. Kyi May Kaung

at Kefa Cafe, 963 Bonifant St., Silver Spring, MD.

Dr. Kaung wishes to add that she is not an expert on Pakistan, only a supporter of world wide democracy. This event was first planned in October 2007, after the first assassination attempt on Benazir Bhutto of the Pakistan People's Party. Ms. Bhutto survived.

Since then, we sadly mourn her loss and worry for Pakistan's future.

For this event there are no specific book reading assignments other than to read the news. We look forward to a discussion which will add to our understanding of this complex region.

HAPPY NEW YEAR --

Kuan Yin the Goddess of Mercy who rescues the shipwrecked --photo copyright Kyi May Kaung.


For everyone in Burma, stay alive and well --

For Americans, please be less self centered.

Don't give me a version of "Why should we care?"

I have heard it one time too many.

We need to care because we are all interconnected.

"When a butterfly flutters its wings in one part of the world, it can eventually cause a hurricane in another . . ."

From Edward Lorenz and Chaos Theory.

Part III of interview of Dr. Kyi May Kaung on Political Economy of Burma by RFA --

Go to RFA.org

and find BUR-2007-1230-1930

program is 15.47 minutes into the whole broadcast.

Thanks for listening.

Summary: I said that analysts should take a more macro economic approach rather than a micro economic approach and that due to the command economy of the Burmese junta, the people will have a hard time and real economic development will not take place.

Things will be mitigated somewhat by the geographic proximity of the booming Chinese and Indian economies and the discovery of natural gas deposits in Burma.

But very little will trickle down to ordinary people.

I presented a similar argument with more detailed figures in a recent article in Mizzima.com

You can find everything I have written by Googling my full name.

Copyright Kyi May Kaung.

Going to KyaikHtiYo -- The Golden Rock Shrine in Burma --

http://www.canada.com/vancouversun/news/travel/story.html?id=762d978d-f47d-4b6d-9e4e-b76a777ca810

Glad I never went -- relatives who did described it the same way.

Part II of Interview of Dr. Kyi May Kaung by RFA on the political economy of Burma -- in Burmese --

As before, pl go to

http://www.rfa.org/burmese/ahthan/

then to "ah than" in Burmese --

where you should look for

ProgName-Bur-2007-1228-1930

2nd part starts at 24.01 mins into the program, you will hear female voices -- rest of broadcast sounds all male. Use fast forward button and cursor.

Regards,

kmk

World's best (controlled) implosions --

Stormy sky --photo copyright Kyi May Kaung


http://www.cnn.com/video/#/video/us/2007/12/29/relerford.old.file.cabinet.stocks.whdh

Do I hear my friends in poor countries like Burma going, "Oh, oh, oh! -- Perfectly good buildings!"

Notice how skillfully the implosion is carried out.

Don't you wish it were a neat metaphor for old defunct systems like dictatorships and command economies? Unfortunately, political and economic systems don't (can't) go down, or be brought down, that neatly.

Kyi May Kaung

Poem -- Seeds of Truth - by Kyi May Kaung

Ah May Pu's House -- acrylic on canvas --painting copyright Kyi May Kaung -- private collection.

This is one of the paintings I created and exhibited in Chiangmai in July -- based on green vines and black house outside my veranda.

http://peajaypee.blogspot.com/2007/07/words-1-seeds-of-truth-by-kyi-may-kaung.html

Poem copyright Kyi May Kaung --

I took a bit of poetic license here -- rosselle seeds do not cling to your clothes like some grass seeds - but it's emotionally true, as they say on TV interviews.

Kyi May Kaung

Detailed analysis of Benazir Bhutto assassination:

http://www.democracynow.org/2007/12/28/pakistan_in_turmoil

Very sad --

92 year old, self-exiled Indian artist Husain's work attacked in Dehli --

http://www.ibnlive.com/news/sena-activists-attack-mf-husains-delhi-art-show/55108-3-1.html

It art so threatening?

Burma on DownwithTyranny Blog

http://downwithtyranny.blogspot.com/2007/12/update-to-howies-post-from-myanmar-no.html

Part I of interview of Dr. Kyi May Kaung on Economics of Burma by RFA

http://www.rfa.org/burmese/ahthan/

it's in Burmese, abt 15 mins into the program -- 2007/12/25

ProgName-BUR-2007-1226-1930

-- economist colleagues in Burma apparently heard it.

Day of great sadness -- Benazir Bhutto is dead.

The nascent orchid of promise -- Photo copyright Kyi May Kaung


http://www.cnn.com/2007/POLITICS/12/27/us.pakistan.ap/index.html

1930 Time magazine review of F. Tennyson Jesse's The Lacquer Lady, set in Burma 1886

http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,738566,00.html

Great movie, script and review -- There Will be Blood

http://movies.nytimes.com/2007/12/26/movies/26bloo.html?th&emc=th

I read the script, leaked by Paramount on line, and it is masterly.

Daniel D. Lewis is one of those wonderful classically trained British actors.

He was scary also in Gangs of New York, as the Butcher -- I feel this role is played in the same way.

Strange no one picked that up.

I "watched" Gangs with my eyes half closed most of the time -- so much -- too much blood and graphic violence -- but the story was still mesmerizing.

In the end that is all that counts, the story.

Kyi May Kaung

Pearl Lam Gallery in Shanghai -- Astronomical Chinese Art Prices

http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/12/25/arts/gallery.php

Remains of 22 Burmese retrieved from Andaman Sea near Ranong in Thailand.

http://www.iht.com/articles/ap/2007/12/23/news/Thailand-Myanmar-Bodies.php

We don't even know who they were, and their families may never know what happened to them.

New Yorker Review of There Will be Blood.

http://www.newyorker.com/arts/critics/cinema/2007/12/17/071217crci_cinema_denby

It's interesting how the movie adaptation, a loose one, focuses on character -- and it's disintegration, and "loses" the socialist literalism of Upton Sinclair's original.

The director and the actor revealed very little plot, but analysed character a lot in a recent interview with Charlie Rose.

I haven't seen the film yet, but think the screenplay -- leaked by Paramount, is masterful.

Kyi May Kaung.

Toughtful review of movie There Will be Blood, based on Upton Sinclair's novel Oil! -- published in 1927.

http://www.variety.com/VE1117935281.html

Recent Burmese Jokes -- in Burmese --

Sketch of Burmese monks at hearing on religious freedom in DC -- copyright Kyi May Kaung

http://burmasitmone.wordpress.com/2007/12/22/to-say-young-sone-anyein-all-of-you-are-respected-heroes-of-burma/

One example: This is the time to donate Tho Thingan Robes.

-- You have it wrong, it's not "Tho Thingan" -- it's "Ma Tho Thingan." (Robes that last forever, don't go bad).

-- No, I meant Tho Thingan -- as we can't donate (the robes, because the monks all gone) the robes have gone bad (tho thwa te)

--- The comedians play "good cop, bad cop." One on far right says --

-- "I am afraid, I am afraid" and keeps walking out.

-- At beginning he says, "We agreed, didn't we? No sending metta (loving kindness.)"

-- In September, the monks walked around the city chanting the metta sutra and have been brutally repressed, with the arrests etc continuing.

-- We salute all these brave artists and the audience who supported them.

Sketch, notes and translation by Kyi May Kaung.

Happy Christmas and Peace to All --

Composition in Reds -- Copyright Kyi May Kaung

Elderly Burmese Monk Detained in Mental Hospital

http://www.burmanet.org/news/2007/12/21/democratic-voice-of-burma-monk-detained-in-mental-hospital/

More on Botero --

http://www.art-for-a-change.com/blog/2005/04/fernando-botero-paints-abu-ghraib.html

Painted from the imagination and written reports -- Botero on Abu Ghraib.

http://www.american.edu/cas/katzen/museum/2007nov_botero.cfm

Physics Star at 71 -- How to make complex ideas and theories easy to understand.

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/19/education/19physics.html?em&ex=1198299600&en=ec220a51d461ae69&ei=5087%0A

Creating Artificial Scarcity in Burma --

"Diesel Fuel for Life" ad. in an American airport --photo copyright Kyi May Kaung.

The so-called Saffron Revolution began in August 07 due to fuel price hikes by the Burmese government. A naive blogger wrote "I hope they removed the price hikes."

Here is an example of how the generals create artificial scarcity -- in a system gone bonkers:

http://www.irrawaddy.org/article.php?art_id=9605

This is what the Burmese call -- ta lwe zapin kaun -- or

"Beautiful hair in the wrong place," i.e. in pubic area.

A member of the Burmese language broadcast media recently asked me by email -- "Which sectors should the Burmese economy give priority to?"

I declined that interview.

As it's the whole political-economic system that is upside down, due to the power holders making all the economic and other decisions, only a complete system change or systemic reforms, not piece meal measures, will make a difference.

Meanwhile the poor Burmese people continue to suffer while the regime and the crony capitalists get rich. That is why I have no time for junta apologists.

Copyright Kyi May Kaung

More from Burma -- repression continues --

http://www.guardian.co.uk/international/story/0,,2227910,00.html

There's an apparent typo in the text -- the monastery must be Old Ma Soe Yein -- which means

"Old, Never Fear" Monastery.

It can't be "Ma Soe" as Ma Soe is a woman's name, Ms. Soe.

Otherwise everything in this article confirms what has been reported elsewhere.

Kyi May Kaung

Parrot Facts --

http://www.garudaaviary.org/beforeyoubuy.html

The Kite Runner -- the movie --

http://movies.nytimes.com/2007/12/14/movies/14kite.html?8dpc

The Writers' Brush -- Writers who Paint --

http://www.csmonitor.com/2007/1214/p19s01-hfgn.html

This is a lovely book and makes one feel less strange and less of a freak.

I saw it at Politics and Prose Book Store.

Kyi May Kaung

Burmese refugee families in Fort Wayne need friends --

http://www.journalgazette.net/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20071213/LOCAL0201/712130316/1002/LOCAL

War and Peace: The Opera.

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/12/arts/music/12peac.html?th&emc=th

U.S. House Passes Bill to Ban Gems from Burma, Chevron.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/feedarticle?id=7144932

Makes you feel good -- what $1 million in pennies looks like --

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20071211/ap_on_fe_st/odd100_million_pennies

Let's do this for the monks of Burma --

Another heart breaking story from Burma --

http://www.thestar.com/News/article/283849

and the west is very cold in all senses of the word.

Wow! This is good writing --

C.M. Mayo's prize winning essay --

http://www.cmmayo.com/maximilian-fr-mexico-to-miramar.html

Can nuclear power save the planet?

http://hoosierinva.blogspot.com/2007/02/can-nuclear-power-save-planet.html

Essence of good drama --

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/09/arts/music/09pare.html?th&emc=th

It's amazing that many people who want to write don't realize that you go for the jugular.

Kyi May Kaung

Inside the Glass Palace by Deborshi Chaki

http://www.ibnlive.com/blogs/deborshichaki/187/2651/inside-the-glass-palace.html

What it is like post-clampdown, which is really a misnomer as the clampdown is continuing and seemingly without an end.

After the meeting with Suu Kyi described in this piece, the junta has gone back to its old ways.

Kyi May Kaung

UN Human Rights Rapporteur Sergio Pinhiero's Report Finds Serious Abuses in Burmese Junta's Continuing Crackdown --

http://www.nationalpost.com/news/world/story.html?id=154904

South Africa: Whose side are you on?

http://www.thetimes.co.za/PrintEdition/Insight/Article.aspx?id=653905

Pre-diabetes info:

http://www.cnn.com/2007/HEALTH/conditions/10/17/diabetes.parenting/index.html

Hollywood writers talks stalled --

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/08/business/media/08strike.html?th&emc=th

Deadly Rain: Burmese Government Lying About Number Who Died --

"The gunshots were like rain, I never saw so much bleeding."

Min Min Oo (pseudonym of high school student interviewed by Human Rights Watch)

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/asia/article3017089.ece

Ironically, in the past 19 years since 1988 and past 45 years since 1962, this is nothing new in Burma (which the junta calls Myanmar).

Posted by Kyi May Kaung

Driving for Burma --

http://drivingforburma.blogspot.com/

Human Rights Watch publishes report based on 100 interviews of Burmese political prisoners --

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/7132716.stm by Jonathan Head, BBC.

Torture methods used and conditions in Burmese prisons are detailed here --

Billy Joel has someone else sing his anti-war song --

http://www.cnn.com/2007/SHOWBIZ/Music/12/07/people.billyjoel.ap/index.html

Honorary Doctorate for Monks of Burma --

Rowing to Freedom with Sugar Palm Fans -- painting copyright Kyi May Kaung

(based on a photograph)

http://preciousmetal.wordpress.com/2007/12/05/university-of-san-francisco-to-honor-buddhist-monks-who-fought-for-democracy/

This is Ma Soe Yein Sayadaw (Abbot), U Kovida, who will be accepting the degree on behalf of all the monks of Burma, including of course U Kovida who fled from the regime and is now on the Burma-Thai Border and U Gambira, who was arrested inside Burma.

U Gambira's father was released this week. The junta arrested his family members, including a AIDS patient, before it found and arrested him. He had been in hiding in Pauk in central Burma, gave interviews on his cell phone (Oct. 19th) while he was on the run. U Gambira has been charged with treason for which there is a death sentence. Amnesty International has designated him a prisoner of conscience of special concern.

Please speak out and be active for U Gambira and the monks of Burma and all the people of Burma.

How to de-commercialize Christmas --

Vase of flowers with inedible berries -- Photo copyright Kyi May Kaung.


http://biz.yahoo.com/brn/071205/23795.html?.v=1

Give to people who really need it, including Burmese refugees.

Here are some organizations that you can find on the Internet --

1. Burma Refugee Project -- run by a medical doctor and a social scientist -- they have a medical clinic on the Thai-Burma Border. The number of refugees increases as the Burmese junta grows more oppressive.

2. Association for the Assistance of Political Prisoners -- Burma -- (AAPPB) -- They send money to political prisoners in Burma, of whom there are between 2000 and 3000 at any time in Burma, and growing daily, through trusted channels and provide other strategic/logistical help. In Burma, you can be arrested for anything, including clapping during the recent demonstrations. The prisoners are spread all over the country in different jails and the families (already stressed) have to provide htaung win sar -- ("money to get into prison") -- of which the jailers take a large portion, to feed their son/daughter or other family member in detention.

3. Burma Border Consortium (BBC) -- Has been feeding Burmese refugees for the last 19 years. Recently suffered a funding cut. Are only able to provide basics such as rice and fish sauce.

4. Democratic Voice of Burma, radio and TV station broadcasting to Burma -- yesterday won prize from Reporters Without Borders for coverage of The Saffron Revolution. Only station which aired photographs of the demonstrations, taken by their Citizen Journalists, who risked their lives to do so, and are in hiding or were arrested. Oslo based, with staff on the Thai-Burma border.

5. Mizzima.com -- a newsletter run from India and Thailand.

I am a board member of BRP and sometimes contribute articles to Mizzima ("Middle Earth") - and have been interviewed by DVB, but have no financial connection with any of these organizations.

Kyi May Kaung

U.K. Political Studies Association Honors Burma's Aung San Suu Kyi

http://www.mizzima.com/MizzimaNews/NewsBriefs/2007/Nov/02-nov-2007.html

World's Smallest (?) Most Expensive Statue --

http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20071206/ts_afp/entertainmentartusantiquityauction

Burmese Poet Flees to Thai-Burma Border

http://english.dvb.no/news.php?id=717

Baptist Church -- Gospel Song

http://www.youtube.com/AVANAChurch

I think this is Laying on of Hands in Karen Baptist Church in Thailand -- but there are Buddhist elements integrated into the Song.

Scope Creep -- what free lancers tussle with --

hmm --

I am just experiencing this, and have experienced it in non-profit world where I mostly work, even at level of writing articles/books.

Partly it's due to enthusiasm and so project grows in ambition, but I feel every now and then one should, as diplomatically as possible, draw the line.

And keep one's rights as a free lance writer.

Even work for hire, sometimes the employer encroaches.

A friend told me that she was asked to turn in all photos she took on her own on a work trip. She refused.

We should be like doctors and dentists. "Would you like to write the check now?" (Before anyone touches our teeth etc). Why do people think we can write (or paint) effortlessly and without any costs, in our sleep.

Try this -- Instant Picasso!

http://www.mrpicassohead.com/create.html

Bertil Lintner on Sasakawa Foundation --

which works in Burma and for "research concerning Burma" and its checquered past.

http://www.irrawaddy.org/article.php?art_id=9487

China and Burma --

http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/stsang1

India's Burma Dilemma by Mira Kamdar

http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/kamdar1


I first noticed this article in a browse-through due to the name Kamdar.

Yes, she is one of the Rangoon Kamdars that I used to hear mutual friends talk about.

Interesting that almost everyone that the junta thought it would see the last of when they expelled them in 1962, has become influential in the world.

It just shows the enduring power of truth.

Kyi May Kaung

Papers of famous Burma historian Gordon H. Luce in Australia.

http://sealang.net/archives/luce/UThawKaung.pdf

Estimating Post-Crisis Economic Fallout in Burma, 2007 by Kyi May Kaung (Ph.D.)

Painting (detail) Rowing to Freedom with Sugar Palm Fans -- painting copyright Kyi May Kaung

http://www.mizzima.com/MizzimaNews/EdOp/2007/Dec/Post-crisis%20economic%20fallout%20in%20Burma%20(Analysis).html

The recent crisis in Burma that started in August with the Burmese government raising fuel prices from 100 to 500% happened at a time when world fuel prices were $72 per barrel. At the end of November, light sweet crude was at $99 per barrel and seemed likely to rise further. But the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank's interest rate cuts and a sufficient supply of oil, resulted in a slight price fall this past week.

Any assessment of the economic fallout of the crisis in Burma will have to include these international economic factors as well as systemic factors built into the command economy that the SPDC favors.

An assessment is doubly difficult as it has to be based on figures for isolated years; estimates picked from different publications at different times, that don’t form a continuous time series. So my analysis will be for the most part quite conjectural, but it will give a picture of what to expect in Burma in this international context where the United States is probably in for a recession due to the home mortgage debt crisis, while China is playing an increasing role in the world economy and is not expected to have any dampening of its 10-11% p.a. growth rates. (See The Economist, How fit is the Panda?” Sept. 29^th, 2007, pp. 75-77.)

Burma’s other main neighbor on the west, India, is also increasingly a major player on the world economic stage, with an average of 8% growth in the last 3 years (CIA Factbook) and 9.4 % growth in 2006-2007. It just happens that Burma is geographically spliced between the two fastest growing economies in the world, and if physical closeness alone could do the job, it should be in good economic shape itself, but as everyone knows, it isn’t. It’s also resource rich, including rich in fairly well educated workers (who would be better educated if it were an open society), yet its economic prospects are always dismal.

I’d like to argue that all this is due to the military government’s command economy that has been in place more or less unchanged since 1962. Add onto this the ongoing economic and social disruption of the last 3 months, and we see a system that has been failing on its own, even without sanctions, which are more targeted and effective this time around.

I will try to beef up these impressions with what scattered statistics I can find. Probably the most reliable are from the CIA Factbook on line.

Since at least 2004, leading Burmese economists have been gently casting doubt on the performance of the Burmese economy, saying metaphorically to the effect that -- if it’s such a new model car, how can it drive so fast on such poor roads? This points to an anonymous technocrat’s realization that infrastructure and the design of the economic system are largely responsible for how fast (or slow) a growth rate can be achieved. The CIA Factbook updated Nov. 1, that I accessed on Nov. 15^th, gives a 2006 estimate for Burma of 3 % per annum growth rate. As the UN Special Envoy for Burma has been talking of poverty alleviation in Burma and “trying to find out its causes” it seems relevant here that a year 2000 estimate in the CIA Factbook mentions that fully a quarter or 25% of the Burmese population is below the poverty line. The inflation rate for consumer prices (2006 estimate) is 20% per annum.

F. William Engdahl (a pseudonym?) in an article “The Geopolitical Stakes of the ‘Saffron Revolution’” Oct 17, 2007, http://samsara.tuditi.del.si/2007/11/18 accessed on Nov 19, says:

. . . few will argue that the present military dictatorship of the reclusive General Than Shwe is right up there when it comes to world class tyrannies. It’s also a fact that Myanmar enjoys (sic) one of the world’s lowest living standards. Partly as a result of the ill-conceived 100% to 500% price hikes in gasoline and other fuels in August, inflation, the nominal trigger for the mass protests led by saffron robed monks, is unofficially estimated to have risen by 35% (that is, since August?) Ironically the demand to establish “market” energy prices came from the IMF and World Bank.

The UN estimates that the population of some 50 million inhabitants spend up to 70% of their monthly income on food alone. The recent fuel price hike makes matters unbearable for tens of millions.

This points to the fact that prices may have risen “up to 35%” since August alone. Before the August to October crisis, there were reports that people could not afford to go to work because of the high transport costs due to high petrol prices. During the demonstrations themselves, some dissident websites overseas reported that over the long run, demonstrators would have difficulties in coming out onto the streets daily as they were “struggling with their livelihoods on a day to day basis.”

Looking at petroleum oil imports alone, CIA Factbook states that Burma imports 19, 180 barrels a day (2004 estimate.) At $100 per barrel, Burma would be paying $19m a day just for its fuel oil imports. Foreign experts as yet have been unable to ascertain if the army pays the central government for its fuel needs. The answer is “probably not” and as the central government and the army “tatmadaw” are increasingly becoming one and the same thing, we can only expect accelerated inflation rates post-clampdown since Oct. 2007. It is highly likely that the fuel price increases will be financed by budget deficits and more printing of paper money.

The United States has instituted stronger and more targeted sanctions against Burma which are of a financial nature, and already there are reports that Bagan Air has closed down flights specifically citing sanctions and high fuel prices as the reasons. It is also widely rumored that the targeted financial sanctions by the U.S.A. on top SPDC officials and connected businessmen has caused Singapore banks, where the junta does most of its banking and shopping, to close down the accounts of certain individuals and to return cash to the former account holders. This was said to have been transported in suitcases to Rangoon, subject to a 10% surcharge levied by the Burmese government, but we could not confirm this.

Several experts that I spoke to who did not wish to be named, said that the Burmese balance of payments and the government budget figures are in Burmese kyats, at the official exchange rate of about 7 kyats to the US dollar, while the black market or real exchange rate was about 1300 kyats to the dollar in September. They said that beyond the exchange rate, it was highly likely that the regime top brass “skims off the top” from Burma’s export earnings before the figures are entered in the official statistics. This leakage is un-estimated, but shows itself in the high spending life styles of the top junta officials.

Looking at the trade figures, total Burmese exports are $5,321 billion f.o.b. in 2006 and consist of natural gas, wood and wood products, pulses, beans, fish, rice, jade and other gems. But this official figure does not include the timber, gems, narcotics, rice and other products transported overland illegally (smuggled) to Thailand, China, India and Bangladesh. Since the “old original” Gen. Ne Win staged his coup in 1962, the military government which has ruled Burma under different names, has caused these illegal cross border trade flows to flourish due to the mass nationalizations on private enterprises immediately after 1962, the on-going inefficiency of the State Economic Enterprises, and the economic irrationality of the centrally controlled command economy. After 1988, at about the same time that the People’s Republic of China stopped financing the CPB (Communist Party Burma), the cross border trade with China was also legalized but obviously many contraband goods were not included in the official statistics. It is common knowledge that the hardwood resources of Northern Burma have been largely exploited and depleted and there are jade buying depots in Yunnan close to the Burma border.

Burma’s imports were estimated at $2.284 billion f.o.b. in 2006. CIA Factbook states that “import figures are grossly underestimated due to the value of consumer goods, diesel fuel and other products smuggled in from Thailand, China, Malaysia and India.

Burma’s main export partners and direction of exports are as follows:

Thailand 49%

India 12.8%

China 5.3%

Japan 5.2%

Exports to Thailand consist mainly of natural gas.

Burma’s buys (imports) most from the following countries:

China 34.6%

Thailand 21.8%

Singapore 16.2%

Malaysia 4.7%

S. Korea 4.3%

The United States’ trade with Burma according to the U.S. Census

(accessed 11-15-2007) is

Zero imports from Burma

Exports to Burma US $7.5 billion.

In mid-November, Burma recently held another gem auction. It has been holding these emporiums increasingly frequently in an obvious attempt to raise revenues. Irrawaddy magazine reports that though many buyers came to the current emporium, and a lot of jade tonnage was sold, revenue figures were not given as they “are lower than usual this time.” Sean Turnell of Macquarie University, Sydney, has pointed out that gems are easy to hide. Burmese jade is mostly sold to Chinese customers while rubies and sapphires are cut and set into jewelry in Bangkok. In the case of rubies they are “baked” to enhance color. As the main market for Burmese gems are in Asia, it is uncertain how large an impact the gems embargo will make on Burma’s earnings from gems, which in a normal year are estimated at $300m. a year.

The SPDC typically tries to raise revenues through greater exploitation of resources and people, rather than trying to decrease spending. It could be argued that in some sense “it cannot decrease spending” as it needs to pay off its crony capitalists and top army personnel in order to buy the political support it so badly needs.

In foreign investments, an Associated Press article published on Nov 26^th

http://www.forbes.com/feeds/ap/2007/11/26/ap4373496.html

states that foreign investment in Burma’s oil and gas sector reached $470m in 2006-07, accounting for more than 60% of total investment, according to recently released government statistics. Of this, $240.68m was from the U.K. and $160m from Singapore and Russia and S. Korea also had large investments in this sector. These figures show that Burma is fast becoming a country dependent on and dominated by foreign investors (corporations) in spite of the policies of the junta which are often seen as “isolationist.”

Not just the United States but Canada also tightened sanctions. But as total trade between Canada and Burma sank to $9 m. last year, the sanctions are seen as largely symbolic. (VOA news, 14 Nov. 2007). Australia likewise has a slight trade relationship with Burma, which will also be influenced by sanctions. According to the Australian government’s figures, Australian exports to Burma ranked 77^th and fell 19.9% in 2006-07. Imports from Burma ranked 73^rd in importance to Australia and rose 47.7% in 2006-07. Australia mainly exports wheat to Burma and imports mainly fish and shellfish (crustaceans) from Burma. According to official Australian trade figures, compiled from IMF etc., this is Burma’s trade picture.

Burma’s principal export destination, 2006 were –

1. Thailand 49.0%

2. India 12.8%

3. China 5.3%

4. Australia 0.4%

Burma’s principal import sources were:

1. China 34.6%

2. Thailand 21.8%

3. Singapore 16.2%

4. Australia 0.7%

So Australia’s sanctions on Burma are also largely symbolic and will hurt Burma more than Australia itself notices.

Besides these trade effects, the fuel price increases, the demonstrations themselves and the on-going clampdown are likely to have a dampening effect on the Burmese economy. The Economic Intelligence Unit, which estimates average consumer price inflation will be 39.5% in 2008, while real GDP growth will be 2.5%, has presented the most succinct prognosis for Burma. This was accessed from the Internet on Nov 15:

Myanmar – Economic Intelligence Unit – The Economist.

OVERVIEW: Following its brutal suppression of peaceful protestors, including Buddhist monks, in September, the State Peace and Development Council (SPDC, the ruling junta) still maintains a firm grip on power. Given that public resentment towards the junta has reached new heights, there could be a renewed effort to oust the regime in the near future, but any such attempt is likely again to be violently suppressed. The US remains strongly critical of the Burmese regime, and will keep sanctions in place, as will the EU. Although China and Myanmar’s fellow members of the Association of South-East Asian Nations (ASEAN) have expressed some criticisms of the military’s repressive actions, these countries are unlikely to impose any punishment. Economic policymaking will continue to be erratic. The energy sector will remain fairly buoyant, but the outlook for the rest of the economy is poor. High inflation will put downward pressure on the free-market exchange rate. Gas exports will put the current account in surplus.

In conclusion, as the economic fallout of the recent crisis in Burma is continuing on top of structural or systemic factors which have been in place since 1962 and 1988, and on top of the generals’ own tendencies toward erratic and dysfunctional economic behavior, overall the outlook is quite bleak. But the energy sector and the physical closeness of a super charged Chinese economy and a rapidly growing Indian one will have some mitigating effect on it all.

Copyright Kyi May Kaung.

Affordable Houses for Hot and Wet Climates: Brad Pitt commissions house designs for Ninth Ward, New Orleans --

These could work in Burma and elsewhere.

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/03/arts/design/03pitt.html?th&emc=th

Congrats Brad and Angelina for your activism and good sense. I hope these get built.

Kyi May Kaung

Burmese junta's 7 step "road map" -- recognized as a sham.

"Please Keep the Burma News Hot!" by Kyi May Kaung.

http://www.bangkokpost.com/breaking_news/breakingnews.php?id=124189

Ten Activists Released Even As Many More Being Arrested.

Found poster of Shwedagone Pagoda, c. 1975. Thanks "JAZZ" -- copyright Kyi May Kaung.


http://myamarnews.blogspot.com/2007/12/burma-releases-ten-activists.html

These ten were held two months without trial.

Burmese political prisoners have been held up to 19 years -- Writer U Win Tin, in his 70s, the longest time continuously.

Artist-Activist Paul Chan -- Waiting for Godot in the Ninth Ward.

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/02/arts/design/02cott.html?em&ex=1196744400&en=01c43e9e6d0b70a7&ei=5087%0A

Out of This World: Best Selling Chinese Artist Li Huayi.

http://www.kqed.org/arts/people/spark/profile.jsp?id=5025

Time for me to take out my inks from Singapore and my paper from Seoul and Bangkok.

Burmese junta closes down Meggin Monastry which provided AIDS related services.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/burmese/news/story/2004/12/041201_friday_dawn.shtml

Argentinian Poet Juan Gelman wins Cervante's Prize

http://www.thebookstandard.com/bookstandard/news/author/article_display.jsp?vnu_content_id=1003679655

UN Burma Envoy Gambari and Gen. Thein Sein to take turns visiting Cambodia

http://www.hindu.com/thehindu/holnus/003200711281223.htm

Burmese monks have disapeared, even as monasteries are used for combat training.

http://andrewsullivan.theatlantic.com/the_daily_dish/2007/11/the-rape-of-bur.html

I will talk about Burma at Woman's National Democratic Club on Jan 24th, 2008 at 1 PM.

Guests -- $30.00 each --

http://www.culturaltourismdc.org/dch_tourism2555/dch_tourism.htm?doc_id=122679&area=2522

This is a beautiful and historic building a block from Dupont Circle --

very appropriate that I will be speaking there, partly about the role of women in Burmese politics.

Kyi May Kaung

Posting a picture for practice --

Philadelphia City Hall fountain colored pink for women's breast cancer day -- Ladies, self examine and get annual mammograms. Photo copyright Kyi May Kaung

From Newsweek: In Burma, Big Brother Continues to Watch, Eyelids Propped Up!

http://www.newsweek.com/id/71672/page/1

Burma junta reneges on promise to stop arrests --

According to Amnesty International, approximately 1900 remain under arrest --

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601091&sid=ax2oQlz.CEwk&refer=india

Pakistan's Gen. Musharraf sheds his uniform --

http://www.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/asiapcf/11/28/pakistan.musharraf/index.html

but his replacement is "in the same mold."

Brooke Astor's Estate --

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/11/27/nyregion/27astor.html?th&emc=th

Burma News Items:

http://www.bignewsnetwork.com/index.php/cat/c3891022f175b678

Last of remains of Russian Royals found --

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/11/25/world/europe/25czar.html?pagewanted=2&_r=1&th&adxnnl=1&emc=th&adxnnlx=1196103612-grck/8AmmREteHOJcMvnew

New York Times: New York Manhole Covers Forged Barefoot in India.

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/11/26/nyregion/26manhole.html?th&emc=th

Beowulf translation by Frances B. Grummere -- Harvard Classics -- copyright expired.

http://www.alcyone.com/max/lit/beowulf/index.html

I have not yet read Seamus Heaney's 1999 translation, but to me (though I don't read Old English)
this translation best captures the alliteration in each line, connecting two parts of each sentence, that is a feature of the original 11th century poem about 6th century events, of which only one manuscript survives, with two 18th century transcripts.

In 2000, Seamus Heaney's translation was included in a Norton Anthology of English Literature.

Like magical realism, the epic poem Beowulf combines real and imagined characters and events. There is a burial mound in Sweden dating to the same period that has been identified as Beowulf's. See -- Wikipedia.

Kyi May Kaung

"Pay me for my Content" by Jaron Laner

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/11/20/opinion/20lanier.html?th&emc=th

Tired of being expected as a writer and artist to "live on stones."

Friend of Burma, Myanmar Critic, Former Thai PM Surin Pitsuwan to be new chair of ASEAN

http://www.reuters.com/article/newsMaps/idUSSIN15991320071122

Yeah, Surin!

UN Special Envoy Gambari no longer allowed to address ASEAN

Monks demonstrating in Rangoon on September 25th, 2007. Photo Mizzima.com

http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D8T0SFTO0&show_article=1

and in Burma, arrests of ethnic leaders continues and novices (don la ba yahan) not allowed to enter sangha at this time.

Monks also not allowed into Rangoon without special permits.

Amnesty International very concerned about Burmese monk U Gambira and others.

Portrait of Human Rights Activist -- oil on canvas -- copyright Kyi May Kaung.

http://www.amnesty.org.uk/news_details.asp?NewsID=17530

Arresting family members as hostages is totally unacceptable.

U Gambira, Su Su Nway and others were only excercising their God-given right to express themselves freely and peacefully.

Infamous Khmer Rouge Duch brought to trial in Pnom Penh.

http://www.nytimes.com/2007/11/21/world/asia/21cambo.html?th&emc=th

See Francois Bizot's Memoir, The Gate.

Duch pronounced "Doik." See also First They Killed My Father, and Dith Pran and Haing S. Ngor's memoirs.

EU tightens sanctions on Burma --

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601080&sid=aZC4reb_fXyU&refer=asia

Ustvari Blog: Geopolitical Stakes of the Saffron Revolution.

http://samsara.tuditi.delo.si/2007/11/18/the-geopolitical-stakes-of-saffron-revolution/

All dark on Broadway -- labor talks fail.

Join Writers Guild of America.

Broadway shows rake in $30m over Thanksgiving week alone.

http://www.cnn.com/2007/SHOWBIZ/11/19/broadway.strike/index.html

Civility in the blogosphere --

http://www.captainsquartersblog.com/mt/archives/009663.php

Quote: "My blog is my castle. If you don't like it, there's another one down the road."

Elie Wiesel, Holocaust Survivor and Nobel Laureate -- sometimes it is not an "internal matter."

SOMETIMES, WE MUST INTERFERE. WHEN HUMAN LIVES ARE ENDANGERED, WHEN HUMAN DIGNITY IS IN JEOPARDY, NATIONAL BORDERS AND SENSITIVITIES BECOME IRRELEVANT. WHEREVER MEN OR WOMEN ARE PERSECUTED BECAUSE OF THEIR RACE, RELIGION, OR POLITICAL VIEWS, THAT PLACE MUST - AT THAT MOMENT -BECOME THE CENTER OF THE UNIVERSE.

- Elie Wiesel from his Nobel acceptance speech.

This quote comes from poet E. Ethelbert Miller's site. Thanks Ethelbert.

If this quote does not apply to Burma, nothing does. Let us try and keep the focus on Burma and other countries like it, other cases like it.

We can't get "compassion fatigue" when there is so much abuse. I met Weisel once in Williamsburg when he came to speak at an event to which Fulbright scholars were invited. It was 1988. March. The earth shaking events in Burma had started. But my colleague and I were still gripped by fear, and we tried to avoid the reporters.

It's amazing how far I have come, if only in losing my fear of the mike and what the Burmese junta might do. I am still afraid, of course, but I still say what I have to.

Peter, Paul and Mary sang "Pop the Magic Dragon" and we met a monk from Sri Lanka and Nelson Mandela's daughter at that Williamsburg event.

Kyi May Kaung

Scary "Burma Reed" an environmental hazard in Florida.

Whoever named it should call it "Myanmar Reed."

http://www.nps.gov/plants/ALIEN/fact/nere1.htm

Burmese junta arrests monks' leader U Gambira.

http://www.buddhachat.org/forum/showthread.php?p=38476

Burmese thugs resume bad-mouthing Suu Kyi in Mon State.

Cartoon from Web, caption: "Who will really save Burma?" Junta and Burmese army always says it will do that.

News from INWA, a Mon dissident site: "Union Solidarity and Development Association" (USDA) another Orwellian acronym if ever there was one, the Burmese brown shirts organization, started saying again in Mon State (and elsewhere inside Burma), that they are the true saviors of Burma, and Daw Aung San Suu Kyi "has never done anything for Burma."

But we all know who or what will really save Burma.

Democracy, Daw Suu, Openess and Transparency.

The right of the people to decide their own destiny.

Quote of the Day: Zaw Oo (Economist) "the army can't shoot and kill the rising prices."

Monk shields his eyes from tear gas as crackdown starts. Copyright Citizen Journalist, Sept 25, 2007. It turned out motor cycle was burned by junta instigators to "prove lawlessness." Anarchy and chaos are bogey men for the junta, and it has been using this method to justify crackdowns since it came into power after a coup in 1962.

See special "Brown Panel" on the Saffron Revolution, chaired by Prof. Sergio Pinheiro, on Oct 22, 2007 at Brown University.

Second quote from the same day: Andrew Lim, co-founder, Brown Chapter of the U.S. Campaign for Burma.

" I can understand pessimism (regarding Burma), but this is not the time to be pessimistic."

http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=3315123002100971051&q=Paulo+Sergio+Pinheiro&total=14&start=0&num=10&so=0&type=search&plindex=1

Writing with the hand and erasing with the foot --

Monk with flag, Burma, Sept. 2007. Photo by Citizen Journalist. I don't know if this is U Gambira or not. It has already been widely circulated in Cyberspace.

The Burmese junta arrested two prominant dissidents, the monks' leader U Gambira and labor activist Su Su Nway and others on the 3rd day of UN Special Human Rights Rapporteur Pinheiro's 5 day visit.

How's that for sincerity?

Pinheiro was able to see Su Su Nway in Insein Prison, but U Gambira has been charged with treason, for which the sentence is death or life imprisonment.

They need to be released.

Please write to Burmese embassies wherever you are.

3 Reasons to get vaccinated for flu --

1. Prevents death. Each year 20,000 people in the US die due to flu, most are over 65.

2. Prevents severe illness. The flu puts about 114,000 in hospital each year in the US. Children younger than 2 are likely to be hospitalised, as are those over 65.

3. Protects others.

Center for Disease Control.

If you are in Burma, I don't know if you can get a flu shot.

In Burma, AIDS is being spread by using the same needle for everyone, especially in prisons! At home or with a doctor, make sure needles are boiled each time.

In 2001, a Burmese medical doctor called me to add into my interview of her that AIDS was being spread by monks' (head) shaving blades (thindone dah). I rushed to add it to my taped interview before it was broadcast, but the editor!!!! and the management did not allow me to make the addition!

Oil Prices Hit US Military too --

http://www.cnn.com/video/#/video/politics/2007/11/15/starr.gas.guzzler.cnn

will hit a Less (or Least) Developed Country like Burma even more.

Rambo on Mission to Burma -- USA Today

http://www.usatoday.com/life/movies/news/2007-11-14-rambo_N.htm

Stallone recently gave an interview to Entertainment Tonight (ET), in which he discussed things he saw and heard during filming on location, along the Thai-Burma Border.

Go see the film and become more interested in Burma.

"Be the change you want to be." Gandhi.

"Four Steps Backward, Two Steps Forward . . . The Junta Jive." Andrew Harding, BBC.

Women watch the September demonstrations from behind a gate -- photo copyright Citizen Journalist, Burma.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/7086709.stm

UN Security Council media stakeouts (press conferences) on briefing by Ibrihim Gambari of his most recent trip to Burma.

Note: Much more finely calibrated approach on part of UN and international community.

Listen especially to Gambari's press conference, and those of 2 US Embassadors to UN, Mr. Zalmay Khalilzad and his deputy.

http://www.un.org/webcast/stakeout.html

I am planning regular updates on Burma on this blog and in articles I write and appearances.

Human Rights or rather the lack thereof, in Burma.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_rights_in_Burma

What is a UN Special Rapporteur?

Prof. Paulo Sergio Pinheiro is UN Special Rapporteur for Human Rights for Burma.

They are also sometimes called Independent Experts. They report to no government and are not paid, but receive logistical support from the UN

See --

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UN_Special_Rapporteur

Pinheiro's Report of Oct2, 2007 to UN Human Rights Commission -- special session on Burma.

http://www.unhchr.ch/huricane/huricane.nsf/view01/E4C93338524DC804C12573680039B3A3?opendocument

Special UN Human Rights Rapporteur for Burma: Prof. Paulo Sergio Pinheiro

http://www.ohchr.org/english/bodies/crc/pinheiro.htm

Burma Post-Clampdown: What Should Be Done? by Kyi May Kaung in The American Prospect.

Found collage on a page of my dissertation, copyright Kyi May Kaung.

In The American Prospect (TAP) on line:

http://www.prospect.org/cs/articles?article=burma_post_clampdown_what_should_be_done

Web issue of TAP is read by one million unique readers a day.

"Recovering Politician" Al Gore going into venture capital and clean energy of the future.

Abstract of something industrial laid sideways, "Industrial" Photograph copyright Kyi May Kaung.

http://money.cnn.com/2007/11/11/news/newsmakers/gore_kleiner.fortune/index.htm?postversion=2007111208

Joke I read:

Why did Al Gore win the Nobel Peace Prize and not the monks of Burma?

Ans. Al Gore lobbied more for it.

--- Hint, Hint -- Nobel Committee, think of the Burmese Monks!

Hmm -- U.N. Human Rights Investigator's visit to Burma also does not seem to be shaping up well.

Shwedagone Pagoda (where most of the monks went to pray before demonstrating) seen through a glass murkily -- pastel drawing and photograph copyright Kyi May Kaung.

http://www.voanews.com/burmese/2007-11-12-voa1.cfm

There is some descrepancy between the write-up in English and the detailed original reporting by Thar Nyunt Oo in Burmese. I think it is due to the English write-up being a summary, so many salients facts have been glossed over and generalized.

If you understand Burmese, make sure you listen to the Burmese sound bites! Or get someone who does to do so and summarize/translate for you.

The English version just says Pinhiero went to Bago (spelled Pegu, when Burma was still officially called Burma). It is about 40 miles from Rangoon, where most of the demonstrations took place. I doubt many foreigners will know where Bago or Pegu is. I saw an international TV newscast recently where "Rangoon" was shown at the southernmost tip of the Indian subcontinent. I know Americans and maybe most Westerners are very insular and not international, and the National Geographic famously conducted a survey once which showed Americans general ignorance of world geography. But this was ridiculous.

Thar Nyunt Oo's report points out through several interviews that if Pinhiero is just"escorted" around to the places his military regime guides take him, his trip won't be much use.

The Kya Hkat Waing monastery's head abbot in Pegu, whom Pinhiero was taken to see by the junta authorities, is the notorious one who "complained" to authorities on Sept 24th, that a glass window in his monastery was broken because 2 monks threw empty water bottles into his garden! I suppose that was a government set up to illustrate the demonstrators were "violent."

The Mah Soe Yein Sayadaw ("Not to Fret" Abbot) in exile that Thar Nyunt Oo talked to said, (if Pinhiero goes there, to Kya Khat Waing) "he will only get the point of view of a pro-junta monk."

Ko Bo Kyi of AAPPB (Association for the Assistance of Political Prisoners Burma) said that he had met Pinhiero in person and had full confidence in Pinhiero himself "as he has his own experiences with an authoritarian government" but "it won't be much use if he can't go where he wishes, like Gambari." Bo Kyi said that he had already given the detailed statistics he had collected to Mr. Pinhiero as an official report.

Another interviewee said that Pinhiero for sure needs to see Min Ko Naing and other 1988 leaders still under detention, and go to the monasteries that were raided and sacked.

I want to stress here I am only giving an impressionistic summary. If you need a exact verbatim translation it would be best to approach VOA or have someone do it independently.

The English version gives a rather positive impression of Pinhiero's trip while the original reporting in Burmese by Thar Nyunt Oo does not.

Commentary here copyright Kyi May Kaung.

Chinese writer Lu Jiamin wins Asian Booker Prize for Wolf Totem

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/asia/article2851521.ece

Lu, writing under a pseudonym, lived 11 years in Mongolia herding sheep and wrote this part memoir, part allegory, part environmental novel over 6 years after 30 years of thinking about it.

Amazing and wonderful.

I hope champion translator Prof. Howard Goldblatt will translate it and we will be able to read it in English soon.

Khmer Rouge leader Ieng Sary arrested and taken to Tribunal

http://www.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/asiapcf/11/11/cambodia.khmer.ap/index.html

I went to a poetry reading today, where I bought a poetry book, Where are the love poems for dictators? by E. Ethelbert Miller.

In 1983, Ethelbert wrote:

"when the generals invite you home
do not salute them
when they ask you to forgive them
do not forgive them."

Copyright E. Ethelbert Miller.

In the Introduction, John Cavanagh, Director, Institute of Policy Studies, relates how Orlando Letelier and Ronni Moffit were killed by a car bomb, (in view of the Chilean Embassy), in 1976, in Washington DC when they were on their way to work at IPS.

In Burma, in 1976, I read about the bomb.

It was only in 1998, that Jeremy Woodrum, of U.S. Campaign for Burma, in an interview I did of him at Sheridan Circle, showed me the small memorial, that looks like a tree stump, at the Circle.

John Cavanagh relates how Pinochet's arrest in London in 1998, led to the verb "Pinocheted."

It's amazing it took so long to get Ieng Sary pinocheted.

I have met variously, several Cambodian survivors and the human rights lawyer who worked on the Yale Genocide Project.

Angelina Jolie as a Hollywood Beowulf's mother --

http://www.kansascity.com/entertainment/books/story/352636.html

So that is what the ads on the metro are about.

For me, the late John Gardner's Grendel is still the best.

I don't know why this obviously learned book editor did not mention Gardner's work at all.

Singapore 2nd largest arms supplier to Burma --

http://myamarnews.blogspot.com/2007/11/singapore-is-2nd-largest-supplier-of.html

Burma -- "Words have escaped" -- John Pilger.

Ceramic plate decorated with some Burmese alphabets -- art work and photograph copyright Kyi May Kaung.

http://mostlywater.org/hypocrites_amp_burma

"The young monks are quiet in their cells, or they are dead. But words have escaped." John Pilger.

Definitely the most beautiful and thoughtful piece written so far about Burma.

Old piece from NPR 2005 -- flailing a dead horse --

" Five Thousand Kyat note" with Aung San Suu Kyi's image. Copyright Burmese Dissidents.

http://www.npr.org/templates/player/mediaPlayer.html?action=1&t=1&islist=false&id=4709612&m=4709613

I really don't see how Aung San Suu Kyi could have "worked for economic development in Burma" when she was under house arrest most of the time. She was never economics minister in Burma! She has not been part of a government in power yet. She never was in a position to make decisions on a national scale that could effect the economy. For instance, she did not nationalize all industries in 1962, she does not set the purchase price of rice (paddy), decide how much and what to export, set the exchange rate of the kyat, decide how much the military government will spend, etc etc. It is the military government which does these things.

Daw Aung San Suu Kyi is the beleagured leader of an opposition party that has been sorely oppressed, for goodness sakes. Quit trying to blame everything on the poor woman who has already given enough already.

I did not realize till now how poor the economic understanding of some individuals is, and that includes some people in the media.

To the charge that anti-sanctions does not mean pro-junta, I say --

1. Who initiates moves continuously that sanctions be lifted? We have reason to believe it is the junta.

To my mind, the economic argument and political debate regarding sanctions is already cut and dried.

2. Who will benefit most if they are lifted? The junta.

As recently as six days ago, U.N. Special Envoy Ibrihim Gambari was subjected to a tongue lashing by the Burmese information minister Kyaw Hsan that he had not been able to help lift sanctions after his first visit after the Sept 26-27th -- clampdown, but instead sanctions had been amped up. The junta does not seem to realize that the U.N. and the national governments who impose sanctions are different entities.

The junta did not produce real economic development and they are the government in charge of a command economy that they themselves put in place and "operate" on a daily basis with cock eyed commands and decisions.

The best response is a "visual aid" produced by Burmese dissidents showing a "new currency" with Aung San Suu Kyi's portrait on it.

Text commentary copyright Kyi May Kaung

Interview of Elaine Kessler of Educate the Girls (of Uganda) by Kyi May Kaung in Panamowa

http://web.mac.com/newlitorder/iWeb/Panamowa%3A%20A%20New%20Lit%20Order/educate%20int%20is%202.html

(re-posting)

Aung San Suu Kyi may be released soon, NLD Spokesperson says.

"Glowing Woman" -- painting and photo copyright Kyi May Kaung

http://www.mizzima.com/MizzimaNews/News/2007/Nov/29-nov-2007.html

Dominic Faulder, who has reported on Burma since at least 1988, says,

the Burmese junta is not known for keeping its promises, but "one day, once, the pessimists will be wrong."

We continue to hope so, while doing all we can to push things along.

Writer/activist/journalist Norman Mailer dies at 84.

He was also an anti-feminist and stabbed one of his wives.


http://www.cnn.com/2007/SHOWBIZ/books/11/10/mailer.obit.ap/index.html

Australian Idol star is grandchild of 1962 Burmese emigres

http://myamarnews.blogspot.com/2007/11/face-of-australian-idol-becomes-face-of.html

Quote of the Day: From famous Burmese comedian, just released.

http://www.seapabkk.org/newdesign/alertsdetail.php?No=778

original source -- mizzima.com

"I was released at 4 PM but only got home at 9 PM, as I had to sign about 15 things. But none of them was a pledge."

Par Par Lay.

Long live comedians and other artists of all stripes in our poor beleagured country!

kmk

Burmese survivor testimonies post-clampdown --from Bangkok Channel 4 News

Part of a human brain lying in a Rangoon drain, photo copyright Citizen Journalist, Rangoon. The caption says it was due to a beating with iron rods, but U Bo Kyi in piece below says it was splattered out due to the young man being shot by soldiers in the forehead. This photograph has been circulating on the Internet since the clampdown of Sept 26th and 27th, but I am only posting it now because it illustrates what U Bo Kyi is talking about in the Channel 4 piece below.

From Bkk Channel 4 News:

http://www.channel4.com/player/v2/player.jsp?showId=10056

The three people interviewed are:

1. U Panchar, a Sikh businessman and activist, now in hiding. This shows it was not just a demonstration comprised of Buddhists, but also of people of other religions.

2. Ashin U Kovida (pronounced "Kaw -- wi - da" ) a Buddhist monk who also led the demonstrations.

3. U Bo Kyi of the AAPPB (Association for the Assistance of Political Prisoners, Burma.)

I am posting a copy of the photograph of a piece of human brain lying in a drain. (This is what the people in the Channel 4 piece are lined up looking at at the end part of the piece.)

Even some overseas based activists/academics deny this is real, but it is.

Earlier I showed the picture to 2 different people who have MD degrees and they confirmed it is the brain of a young person.

We need the international community to keep paying attention and pressuring and for UN Special Envoy Mr. Gambari to keep on with his mission. We need international monitors of human rights abuses to be in Burma on an on-going basis.

Text copyright Kyi May Kaung

Burma Seminar at Brown University --

http://watsoninstitute.org/news_detail.cfm?id=714

Article on Oct. Senate Hearing on Burma by Kyi May Kaung in New Mandala.

New Mandala is a publication of The Australian National University.

http://rspas.anu.edu.au/rmap/newmandala/

This article is also on this Blog.

Yahoo provided name of Chinese dissident to Chinese authorities resulting in his arrest.

http://www.cnn.com/video/#/video/tech/2007/11/07/todd.yahoo.betraying.dissidents.cnn

Young Burmese Monk -- Where is He?

http://www.refugeesinternational.org/blog/2007/11/ri-guest-blogger-eileen-shields-west-on.html

Burmese junta rejects UN Envoy's proposal for three -way talks

Reuters care of Ko Htike's Blog

http://ko-htike.blogspot.com/2007/11/we-burmese-people-have-already-known.html

Pakistan Crisis -- "Musharraf went ballistic"

http://www.cnn.com/2007/WORLD/asiapcf/11/06/pakistan.crisis/index.html#cnnSTCVideo

How USA has no good options and Musharraf's regime is also caught in a bind.

The U.S. Senate Hearing on Burma of Oct.2, 2007 by Kyi May Kaung

US Campaign for Burma's Ko Aung Din testifies before Barbara Boxer at the Senate Hearing on Oct. 2. Photo copyright Kyi May Kaung.

(This piece was written in mid-October)

As we all know, or should by now, there were cathartic mass demonstrations in Burma this monsoon season, first led by a few activists in mid-August protesting fuel price raises and culminating in the monks coming out in the streets accompanied by applauding civilians, numbering 100,000 on the peak day of September 25th. Alas,the military junta which rules Burma knew no other way to “handle” the Burmese peoples’ legitimate and peaceful demands for a system change and clamped down again with brutal force on the 26th and 27th. We now know that an estimated 200 died and thousands are under arrest. Disturbing photos and videos of the atrocities committed by the army have leaked out via the Internet and according to all reports, continue, with only a surface calm. The junta’s response caused mass international outrage.
There have been Senate and well as Congressional Hearings. I was so fortunate as to be able to attend the special Senate Foreign Relations Sub-committee Hearing on Burma in the Dirksen Building at 2.30 PM, on October 2nd.
The Hearing was attended by over 60 Burmese dissidents and democracy supporters. The DC based U.S. Coalition for Burma was well represented and almost all attendees wore USCB T-shirts calling on the front of the shirts for an arms embargo on Burma and with a sign on the back symbolizing how bloody the upcoming Beijing Olympics will seem. Burma (called Myanmar by the junta) has the largest trade ties with Thailand, China and India, and China and Russia supply it with arms. USCB and others are pressuring China to effect change in Burma.
Barbara Boxer opened the session by stating what unimaginable horrors the people of Burma have suffered. She held up photographs taken by citizen journalists inside Burma which had been printed in a large format by USCB staff. Senator John Kerry made a very strong statement, saying – “Shame on us if we take our eyes off this. Words must transfer into action. This is a bi-partisan matter.” He quoted Martin Luther King who said, “Freedom is never voluntarily given. It must be demanded by the oppressed.” Kerry said that it is time for Sr. General Than Shwe to step aside. Kerry said he had worked with Senator Mitch McConnell on Burma and there has now been years and years of oppression with the junta laying on excuses. He spoke of “their deceptions and their lies.”
Senator John Kerry: Now with this Saffron Revolution (referring to the saffron colored robes worn by the Buddhist monks), this is the second time in 20 years that this has happened and it has taken a human toll. In 1988, everyone spoke up, and then everyone lost focus. This time it is going to take a strategy or policy which has focus and applies on-going pressure.
Kerry said the U.N. Secretary General Ban Ki-moon’s special envoy on Burma, Mr. Ibriham Gambari had gone to Burma for a few days, and “left Burma without any sense of tangible process.” Kerry said the sanctions need to be multilateral. He mentioned that “four of us met with the Chinese ambassador on this issue. The generals in a bunker (their new capital Naypyidaw) in a bunker of a country are surviving because of China. The killing has to stop.”
Senator Barbara Mikulski (D-MD) said Aung San Suu Kyi, the Burmese democracy leader and Nobel Peace Prize winner, is the primary voice for reform in Burma. She said the Burmese junta “has effectively minimized the effect of sanctions by playing investors off against each other. Many of the largest investors are unwilling to go beyond words. It is a difficult balancing act for Burma’s neighbors. It is our job to get a balance of sanctions and engagement.” She mentioned the role of China and India as major trading partners of Burma, and said that one third of Thailand’s natural gas supply comes from Burma.
Senators Mitch McConnell (R-KY) and Diane Feinstein (D-CA), two well-known supporters of the democracy movement in Burma and Aung San Suu Kyi, then presented their individual statements. McConnell said that unilateral sanctions have almost never worked in Burma as China, India and Thailand have adapted to the permanent condition in Burma. He said no one is interested in applying real pressure, as it would be bad for business. He commented, “The ambivalence of India is surprising. The Europeans are somewhat better. The Burmese regime is a pariah regime like Iraq (was) and Iran is. The sanctions will only have bite if China, India and Thailand co-operate. We should all continue to pressure to bring this regime to its knees.”
Diane Feinstein related her long involvement, over ten years, with the Burmese democracy movement. In 1997 she co-authored legislation requiring the President to ban new investment in Burma. President Clinton signed the order in 1997 and it remains on the books today. In 2003, after the regime attempted to assassinate Daw Suu Kyi in the incident now known as the Depayin Massacre of May 30, 2003, McConnell and Feinstein introduced the Burmese Freedom and Democracy Act of 2003, which placed a complete ban on imports from Burma. It was signed into law and renewed one year at a time for the last 4 years. Feinstein stressed that for these sanctions to work, all nations need to join the United States. She encouraged China to persuade Burma to stop the killing and free all political prisoners and sent a message to the people of Burma – “We are watching – and we will not give up our shared vision of a free and democratic Burma.”
Among the witnesses, Scott Marciel, Deputy Asst. Secretary, Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs, Department of State, said that the Burmese military has insinuated itself into every fiber of the country. Senator Boxer spoke of the large loophole whereby Chevron was “grandfathered in” by the 1997 law, and doing a business worth 400-600m USD annually, “is the biggest revenue raiser used to fund the crackdown.” Boxer asked Mr. Marciel what other options might be available under the Patriot Act (to pressure Burma). Kerry said he heard “a slow walk diplomacy in an urgent situation” and asked what the State Department is doing as leverage.
The second witness, Micheal Green, former National Security Council Asia Director, worried about the international community falling back into complacency, spoke of the need for an arms embargo and to organize diplomacy better with a special envoy to talk to China, India and Thailand.
Aung Din, Co-founder of the USCB and a 1988 veteran, updated on how on September 25th alone, a hundred dead bodies were counted at the Rangoon General Hospital. The official count from the junta was 10 dead, including the Japanese photojournalist Kenji Nagai who was shot point blank and died as a citizen journalist was filming. Aung Din described soldiers searching house to house with photos in hand and the monks under arrest in shackles and on hunger strike.
Tom Malinowski, Washington Advocacy Director of Human Rights Watch, who used to be an aid to the late Daniel Patrick Moynihan, an early advocate for change in Burma, said that the junta’s going after the monks crosses a line and they will rue the day. He argued for more focused sanctions but declined to go into details in a public setting. Aung Din added that “the Burmese people are sick of UN envoys. The junta knows how to trick and trip these envoys. He (Mr. Razali, the former UN Envoy) comes back saying he saw a light at the end of the tunnel but it is a fire.” In response to questions, Aung Din also replied that there is no real mutiny among the Burmese army, as some analysts have suggested. He complained about Ban Ki-moon’s “bad use of language” during the height of the clampdown, when Mr. Ban urged all sides to avoid provocating. “We are the people beat upon, and we are to avoid provocation?” Aung Din asked.

Update: Events since the Senate Hearing.
Mr. Ibriham Gambari is again in Asia, but the U.S. is urging him to go to Burma again as soon as possible. Even as Mr. Gambari was in Burma, the junta was busy arresting people, and arrests are continuing. At least one dissident has died of torture in prison. The international community seems again to have settled into complacency. The Burmese junta’s air force chief was in Russia allegedly buying drones and other aircraft. In a Congressional Hearing, the head of the Voice of America Burmese Service, Than Lwin Htun, stressed that “the only way it is normal is that repression continues.” Meanwhile the junta is holding mass rallies in support of its own policies, which the population is forced to attend, and appears so confident as to hold a state funeral for its number four man PM Soe Win, who died of leukemia.

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UN Envoy for Burma, Mr. Gambari not smiling --

http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5j8mg9B9SUJv5BaBQjpw3qhoCdn8w

1. Meetings are in new capital Naypyidaw up country, not in Rangoon.

2. Not meeting Sr. Gen. Than Shwe -- meeting PM who is holding something like a VP position.

3. Junta already said it will expell Charles Petrie, UN Development Program Resident Representative (ResRep) from Rangoon.

4. Mr. Gambari said to "not even have a cell phone when he is on his missions in Burma." At present has no office of his own, no permanent staff of his own, no international human rights abuses monitors on the ground in Burma.

5. We need to "push, push, push" as US Charge d'Affaires Shari Villarosa said during the crisis. The USA is doing that, but there is also of course the Iraq War, Iran issue and now Pakistan "on the plate."

Commentary points, copyright Kyi May Kaung.

Latest Burmese Refugees in Thailand Still not Safe --

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5gIaL02FuO1KPRg4N4pA2bOwxeI3gD8SNFQIG0

Being allowed to live in refugee camps along the border is also not much.

Many have been stuck there for over a decade already.

Oprah is handling the abuse scandal at her school in South Africa very well.

See CNN

http://www.cnn.com/video/#/video/showbiz/2007/11/04/callan.australia.anchor.ch7

This is much much better than the way some scandals are handled -- or rather not handled by many organizations.

Things she is doing right:

1. Immediate action.

2. Looking into the problem herself.

3. Appointing an independent inquiry commission.

4. Meeting alleged victims directly.

5. Good follow up.

6. Being true to the original goals.

7. Checking relevant laws and getting legal advice.

In the Burmese case also, I have heard of several cases of abuse of refugees by people purporting to help them. After the tsunami, it was reported that human traffickers went to disaster sites immediately to "recruit victims."

Pay attention everyone.

Literature and Culture of Pakistan -- Women in Rushdie's Shame.

http://www.usp.nus.edu.sg/post/pakistan/literature/rushdie/srwomen2.html

Burma and Nuclear Power

http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,22693077-5013460,00.html

"The interesting thing about the engagement and isolation strategies is that neither has had the slightest effect in moderating the Burmese government's behavior."

Greg Sheridan, Unconventional Wisdom on Burma, in The Australian, Nov. 3, 2007.

In response to the pro-engagement matra "Sanctions don't work" we should counter with "Engagement has not worked either."

Burma-- A Vision and a Strategy -- by Dr Khin Maung Kyi, Ronald Findlay and R.M. Sundrum

http://books.google.com/books?id=hFA9etqLyrEC&pg=PA229&lpg=PA229&dq=kyi+may+kaung&source=web&ots=dERi1YmzFi&sig=GcHUS5OdrSKXwQJuwoNTHPh5pPc#PPP1,M1

I was on the peer review committee of this book by my mentors, which remains highly relevant today.

We are about to launch the Burmese edition.

Some fiction suggestions to prepare for our Pakistan discussion

1. Krushwant Singh, A Train to Pakistan, A Novel.

I have not read this, but it sounds hopeful.

2. Paul Scott, The Raj Quartet.

3. Salman Rushdie, Midnight's Children.

4. Salman Rushdie, Shame.

I have read 2, 3 and 4.

The Raj Quartet was made into an excellent Masterpiece Theatre series in early 1980s.

Quote of the Day: Benazir Bhutto, returning from Dubai to visit family

says she had hoped to work towards civilian rule in Pakistan, but didn't know how she could work with Gen. Musharraf's government, as "it is very difficult to work with a dictator."

On Sat. Oct 18, within the first 8 hours after she returned from her long exile, a bomb went off killing over a hundred people as she and her supporters made their way through crowds to the tomb of Pakistan's founder, Jinnah.

By popular request, we are going to talk about current events in Pakistan in my book group, but don't have an exact date yet.

We don't have a Pakistan book yet either -- though I suggested Salman Rushdie's Shame, which features cameo roles of Benazir, her father and her mother and Rushdie's Midnight's Children, which is about the formation of India.

We could also watch the film Gandhi again. It includes unforgetable images of the Partition.

Dr. Kaung's Bookshelf -- First Book Discussion on Friday, Nov. 2., 2007.

A record number of people turned up for my first book discussion in this series. I thought it would be one of my last events in Silver Spring, as so few people had been showing up for author appearances lately. And I was having trouble finding new people to come to Silver Spring and talk on interesting topics, though the folk singers always draw a crowd. So do the dancers.

This book discussion on Udozinma Iweala's book, Beasts of No Nation, was scheduled months ago. Some people who came had read it, and one called it a "tour de force" which it is. As it's a book discussion, not an author appearance, and I had been so busy with the Burma thing, I had not made an attempt to find or invite the author. Maybe I should have, maybe not. Anyway, C. was so kind as to remember the first book discussion I did there about two years ago, on Orhan Pamuk's My Name is Red and his other super novel, Snow. And that was scheduled right at the time when Pamuk was undergoing his trial for "insulting Turkishness." Two people from the Turkish Embassy showed up and were very vocal, and hotly denied the Armenian genocide, but I gave the last word to a librarian who had read all of Pamuk's books. That seemed only fair. Pamuk went on to win the Nobel Prize in Literature a year later.

This time, C. said "Did you see the article about this guy's father in The Washington Post this morning? A nurse that his father had an affair with extorted money from his father," but has now lost the case.

http://saharareporters.com/www/news/detail/?id=431

I don't believe "the sins of others" father, mother etc. have anything to do with the children, and moreover I don't believe even the life of authors has anything much to do with a fictional novel.

So I said, "It will sell more books." L. said, "They are selling well already."

Good, because it's a mighty good book and it draws attention to the problem of child soldiers in Africa and elsewhere. A few days ago Human Rights Watch published another report on child soldiers in Burma.

Iweala's Beasts of No Nation is written in an invented English that is charming and lyrical, all in the present continuous tense. M. said as she was reading the book, she got so absorbed she started talking the same kind of English herself.

That happens to me every time I read a good book, by a writer with a distinctive voice. I don't speak "the new language" aloud but I start to sound like the book I am currently reading when I write or talk to myself in my head, which I think everyone does all the time.

That's why it is so important to read appropriately while writing something. Some read only 16th century literature when writing a novel set in the 16th century.

I hope the Iweala family can put this all behind them, they truly sound very gifted, and that Uzodinma keeps writing.

Something I did not know before, the novel was developed from his Harvard Masters capstone. I did notice he thanked Jamaica Kincaid.

I did not know Kincaid taught at Harvard.

What do the rest of us who aren't in our twenties and not in an MFA program with a mentor willing and able to help us do?

I guess the answer is just keep on writing and sending out work.

A good book is the best revenge.

Copyright Kyi May Kaung